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Real Estate Valuation Newsletter
January 2009 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ |
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Please enjoy the latest real estate valuation news for the Napa Valley from your local source. Our goal is to provide you with recent news and information that influence real estate value in the Napa Valley in a quick reference format. The past several years we have witnessed several very dramatic market changes including the recent bailout. If you have any questions, please don't hesitate to contact us!
We are often aksed why this newsletter is published towards the end of each month. The answer is beacuse that is when our market data is published and we have the opportunity to republish into this eNewsletter. Enjoy!
Sincerely,
Dan and Leon Brauning |
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Joining Forces
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We are pleased to announce that Brauning Appraisals and John McFarland, principal of McFarland & Company, have now joined forces to offer residential AND commercial valuation services. John has extensive history and expertise in the commercial valuation field. Please see our website for John's abbreviated Summary of Qualifications. We look forward to providing expanded services for our clientele. Don't hesitate to contact any of us for all of your commercial and residential valuation needs. |
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HVCC
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The Home Valuation Code of Conduct will be implemented on May 1, 2009. This is a business agreement between past New York Attorney General Cuomo and Fannie Mae. This is not federal legislation; however, if any institution plans on sending a loan to Fannie or Freddie, the HVCC needs to be adhered to. There are many implications of this agreement for every person in the mortgage origination loop. The primary issue for brokers and appraisers is that mortgage brokers cannot order an appraisal directly from appraiser for a loan that may end up with Fannie or Freddie. To see the revised HVCC document and read the FAQs, visit Fannie's website here. *Remember, FHA is a different loan program and for FHA insured loans, mortgage brokers will still be allowed to order appraisal directly from an appraiser.* |
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Clarification: 2nd Appraisals for FHA Loans
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Many changes have occurred with FHA over the past few years and more recently Mortgagee Letter 2008-09 effective 1/1/2009 stating: "Second Appraisal Requirements/Loan-to-Value Limits for Cash-Out Refinances: The instructions in ML 2008-09 regarding when a second appraisal is needed, and the requirements for that second appraisal, as well as the 85 percent limitation on cash-out refinances when the loan balance will exceed $417,000, remain in effect." Visit Appraisal Scoop for all of the details! |
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Mortgage Fraud
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We are sometimes asked about mortgage fraud. How it affects us locally, if it exists and where more information can be found about mortgage fraud. A great centralized resource we occaisionally visit and recommend is the Mortgage Fraud Blog. It contains numerous articles from around the country and is a great starting point for research. | |
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2007 To Current Date - December 2008 Percentage of Sales and Active Listings for All Property Types in Napa County
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Market Comments
January 2009
Wow! Napa County finished up year 2008 with almost identical number of sales and listing when compared to year 2007. This is incredible considering the market changes in 2008. The end of 2008 shows a measurable decrease in the number of listings from the first 9 months of the year. There was sharp increase of the number of sales for the 2008 month of December when compared to December of 2007.
It is noted that the value of closed sales did drop nearly 23% year over year but we already knew that we were in a declining market. However, comparing the December 2008 closed sale volume shows that there was more than a 100% increase from December 2007 which appears to be mimicking the increased closed sale amount for the same time period. Could this be a result of optimism of a new presidential administration? Could the Napa real estate market be starting to stabilize? Have prices reached equilibrium (mortgage payment equivalent to a monthly rent payment)? Or maybe the mortgage interest rates have just dropped so steeply that this is a small bump on the decline. Interest rates most likely won't stay this low for an extended period and last week they have started to increase from a historical low, albeit a minuscule increase. It is noted that the price of gasoline is starting to inch up as well. From the macroeconomics viewpoint this 60 Minutes piece seems to say we have a ways to go. However, we have already begun to see investors stepping into the market for single family residences here in Napa. We have also been providing valuation consultation for investors on numerous properties that the investor looks to purchase at the REDC home auctions in Solano County. Properties now are beginning to have positive cash flow with a reasonable down payment. Having investors stepping in to buying again is also great for the stabilization of the market.
***Archived Comments from previous months. These are included as a historical reference.***
December 2008:
No Comments. Christmas cheers only.
November 2008:Look at the huge drop in number of listings in October from the previous month of September. Also, a -34.7% change when compared to the same month in 2007. The drop appears to be a trend which is most likely seasonal as also seen in 2007's Fall season numbers. However in the Fall of 2007 the city of Napa market started to decline at an accelerated rate due to The Credit Crunch in August of that year. This current 2008 drop in the trend is most likely only temporary due to seasonality factors but may be exacerbated one way or another by the president elect's housing policies, loan modifications to stave foreclosures, California's looming huge jump in sales taxation or by the fact that housing prices are becoming affordable again in the city of Napa and American Canyon. However, none of these factors will matter as much if unemployment keeps rising. If people lose their jobs and can't find new ones, then mortgages won't be paid and neither will the rent on investment properties.
October 2008:
It is interesting to note the past 3 months of 2008 are starting to show an increasing number of sales. This may be an indication of market values leveling off. However, with the recent government interventions and associated public fear coupled with the ending of Nehemiah down payment assistance, this may only be a temporary plateau in the overall trend.
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Contact Information ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Thank you for reading the Real Estate Valuation eNewsletter. Please forward this to anyone you feel will benefit from receiving our eNewsletter. Brauning Appraisals provides a wide array of valuation services in the Napa Valley, Solano and Sonoma counties. A partial list of our services can be found on our website: www.brauningappraisals.com. Please don't hesitate to contact us for your all of your real estate valuation needs.
Sincerely,
Dan Brauning, CREA | Leon Brauning, ASA
Phone: 252.6374
Fax: 252.2154
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Brauning Appraisals | 3273 Claremont Way | Suite 200 | Napa | CA | 94558 |
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